The forecast for precipitation is a 45% chance that they will be above normal and a 22% chance that they will end up below normal. Apr. La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. The combined two-day rainfall totals for New Year's Eve/Day across the metro area ranged from 0.50" to 1.50" with the bulk of the rain occurring on New Year's Eve. As always, stay tuned toArizona Weather Forcefor official forecasts and updates on weather across Arizona and if it says like page below, hit the button and get future updates. The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Another quiet period followed through the 18th before returning to the daily threat of showers and thunderstorms as moisture lingered across the area through the end of the month. Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record. Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. 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Over the next 10 days high temperatures gradually warmed through the 60's into the 70's peaking on the 27th with a monthly high temperature of 79. Updated 7:08PM Weather Associated Press 2022 was 5th warmest year on record 2022 has officially been declared the fifth warmest year on record. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. US Dept of Commerce For the third year in a row, the La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to bring a lack of precipitation and warmer-than-average temperatures for not just Arizona, but the entire U.S. Southwest. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. These were the first record temperatures set/tied in 2022. The Climate Prediction Center forecast for Fall 2022 called for a 46% chance of above normal temperatures and a 22% chance of below normal temperatures. For the first time since 2004, the average Fall temperature was below normal. La Nia refers to cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean, near the equator. Click on hotel for more details. Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. Equal chances use the map provided below. Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below. This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. HOME > Outlook Maps >Seasonal Forecast Discussion. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? Odds are tilted toward a colder than average winter from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to northern New England. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". So here is the breakdown If you want to fix your roof, this is the best month to do so just in-case feb/mar/apr become active again, Southern California Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona 3. The deep monsoonal moisture that was over the area for most of the month started to dry out during the last week of the month under a drier upper air pattern. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. Add the current city. Please try another search. The coldest periods will be in late November, mid- and late December, and mid-January. On your streaming device:Download 12News+ to your streaming device. Alaska through Central and Northern Canada to Greenland. The impacts from the cold plunge resulted in a multi-billion disaster, with Texas especially hard-hit. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in January 2024. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in portions of California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, southern Plains, Gulf Coast and much of . The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.03" which ranks as the 8th driest water year to date with four months left in the water year calendar. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 111 on the 16th to a low of 66 on the 5th. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. There should be enough snow on the ground still if you're looking to hit the slopes, but any further lashing will (hopefully) hold off for a little while longer. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a tenth an inch /0.10"/ with localized totals up to a third of an inch /0.33"/, especially near Vail and on the northwest side of the metro area. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a. The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . Here are some of the monthly temperature highlights during 2022: A total of sixteen daily record temperatures were set or tied during 2022. The zero rainfall recorded at the International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, marked the 30th time since 1895 that no measurable rain was recorded at the official site. Man shoots, kills victim outside of a Phoenix . Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. The yearly high temperature was 111 on June 16th while the yearly low temperature was 26 on February 3rd. Managing Editor Sandi Duncan says for our region, in the North Central . Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. Geiger explained that the almanacs predictions come from a formula created by the first editor of the publication, who was a mathematician and an astronomer. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. Last winter, Boston finished the season with. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. The stream has the latest alert links, a map of alerts and where, and articles. Since it was a colder one than earlier in the month, snow levels at times reached down to the valley floor with some light snow occurring on the east side of the metro area. Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. According to The Farmer's Almanac, Arizona's 2021-2022 winter season will bring along a "polar coaster" with temperature swings lasting well into March of 2022. This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. For us across the Southwest, La Nia typically brings drier-than-normal conditions during the winter. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. NWS Tucson Arizona. hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. Well, until it's August. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. On average, there are 0 snowy days in Arizona in January. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. Published: Aug. 10, 2022 at 5:21 PM PDT (Gray News) - The Farmers' Almanac is predicting a frigid winter for most of us here in the U.S., along with brisk temperatures. By weather.com meteorologists October 13, 2022 At a Glance A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. The average Fall temperature of 71.3 is 1.0 below the 1991-2020 normal. Amounts ranged from 1.00" to 4.50" with localized amounts up to 6.50". The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. This is the second consecutive October to be below normal. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year.
